Friday, 21 March 2014

Panic on Annuity Street ……

……..should be welcomed as it is actually a symptom of pensions policy coherence.  That it is temporarily uncomfortable for the traditional life offices is just another symptom of the emerging coherence.

While credit for the execution of pensions policy will be credited to the Lib Dems by thoughtful analysts, there is no doubt that cunning George has made some very smart moves around the fringes.  The Budget announcement is undoubtedly driven by middle-aged, middle England’s disenchantment with annuities.  If you have recently reviewed a communication from a life office prompting purchase of an annuity at the vesting date of a personal pension, you will understand this. 

The commentary predicting that hordes of decadent sixty-somethings will be blowing their pension pot on cruises and fast cars is frankly daft and, as usual, tends to underestimate the natural  prudence of this segment of the population. 
 
The coherent part of pensions policy is that we now have a universal, flat rate, state pension in place.  Other economies ~ notably Australia ~ got the compulsion to savings right without the necessary reform to means tested old age benefits.  
 
 So when the equity markets’ over-reactions have all settled, here’s what will actually happen:


1.      Annuities will still be purchased but later in old age than they are now.  Industry insiders will talk our friends and relatives through the concept of annuitizing in their early 70s and show them how to get value.


2.      In the first stage of pension decumulation we will remain invested albeit in a much more cautious manner with flexible drawdown being our method of taking income in combination with some paid work.
 

3.      The ability to take tax free cash more flexibly will mean that there will be clearing down of the tail of mortgage borrowing in the first phase of decumulation ~ hoovering scraps of DC and personal pensions into a good value SIPP gives one rather handy options at 55.
 
I am not a member of Osborne’s fan base - and often wonder who actually is - but you can’t deny that this is a tactically adept Budget from this most political of Chancellors. 

1 comment:

  1. Finally, a sensible commentary.

    As one who is currently going through decumulation, I would love the cruise and the E-type but I also want the decent standard of living for the next 20 or so years so something has to give.

    Maybe there is time for the E-type but at least I won't be worrying about how i pay the gas bill.

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